The road ahead
Trade finance: the place to watch? Today, trade finance is high volume, costly, and time-consuming. Financial institutions and shipping fleets have been experimenting with blockchain to create smart contracts between parties. We think this could be one of the most interesting areas to watch in 2018.
Overhaul of the financial market utility. We see more clearinghouses, custody providers, and others looking at what blockchain can bring to clearing, settlement, and other intermediated functions. Look for blockchain use cases spreading into more mainstream financial market utilities.
Security on the horizon. Expect more attention on security. So far, regulators haven’t expressed exactly what they want to see when it comes to controls. As intermediaries press ahead with blockchain projects, expect more focus on issues like security and monitoring.
What will the world look like when blockchain grows up? In 2018, we think the conversation will shift away from the specifics of blockchain code toward bigger issues. What will a distributed ledger world look like? How will parties work together in a multi-blockchain environment? What data can be shared—and should it be? What business processes will we be able to completely rethink?
What to consider
Break out of the holding pattern. Some firms have pursued a wait-and-see strategy with blockchain, tracking other firms with the intent to move ahead when the time is right. This is becoming increasingly risky. The technology is evolving quickly, and the learning curve is significant. You’ll also need to convince a range of internal stakeholders, and they’ll want to see small successes before signing off on larger projects. All of these things will take patience and finesse. Don’t wait.
Be proactive with regulators. Regulators haven’t yet set standards around controls and protections for blockchain-based systems, but we expect them to begin setting some ground rules soon. Financial services firms should think about what standards make sense. Consider joining a consortium or trade group to have a say in the conversation. If you don’t participate, you’ll need to accept what others decide.